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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Luzern v Lausanne: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Thermoplan Arena
1–0
FT
FC Luzern 61%Draw 14%Lausanne 25% Expected goals 2.00 – 1.12
61%
Betarazi pick

FC Luzern to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Luzern to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

FC Luzern vs Lausanne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lausanne travel to face FC Luzern on Saturday 22 August in the Super League, with Thermoplan Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, FC Luzern are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Lausanne are 12th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

FC Luzern, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Buochs, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Lausanne, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Kosova Neuchatel, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lausanne, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for FC Luzern.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended FC Luzern 4–0 Lausanne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Luzern 2.0 xG, Lausanne 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Luzern 61%, draw 14%, Lausanne 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Luzern to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Luzern 2–1 Lausanne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Luzern61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.01 · @3.85
Lausanne25%fair 4.08 · @3.40
3.12Expected goals
2.00FC Luzern xG
1.12Lausanne xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: FC Luzern 2.0 – 1.1 Lausanne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Luzern to win ✓61%1.631.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.44
Draw no betFC Luzern (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapLausanne +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.671.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
First team to scoreFC Luzern to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultFC Luzern ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Luzern / FT FC Luzern ✓36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

FC Luzern – last 6

WDLLLW
16 Aug@ Buochs3–0W
9 Aug@ FC ST. Gallen2–2D
2 Aug@ FC Sion0–3L
25 Julvs FC Thun1–3L
18 Julvs St. Truiden1–2L
10 Jul@ FC WIL 19002–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lausanne – last 6

WDWLDW
14 Aug@ Kosova Neuchatel6–0W
8 Augvs BSC Young Boys2–2D
1 Aug@ FC Basel 18931–0W
29 Jul@ Saint Etienne0–4L
25 Julvs Grasshoppers1–1D
18 Julvs Yverdon Sport3–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026FC Luzern v Lausanne4–0
FC Luzern vs Lausanne head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

More Super League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

Our pick is FC Luzern to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

On our numbers FC Luzern have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Lausanne 25%.

How many goals will there be in FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

Our predicted score is FC Luzern 2–1 Lausanne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Luzern vs Lausanne?

FC Luzern vs Lausanne (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Thermoplan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.