FC Thun 46%Draw 20%Lausanne 34%Expected goals 1.98 – 1.67
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Lausanne to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Thun to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
FC Thun vs Lausanne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 2 September the Super League brings FC Thun against Lausanne at Stockhorn Arena. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, FC Thun are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Lausanne are 12th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
FC Thun, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over FC ST. Gallen, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Lausanne, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Zurich, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Thun 2.0 xG, Lausanne 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Thun 46%, draw 20%, Lausanne 34%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Lausanne to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Thun 2–1 Lausanne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Thun46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.80
Lausanne34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
3.64Expected goals
1.98FC Thun xG
1.67Lausanne xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: FC Thun 2.0 – 1.7 Lausanne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Thun to win✗
46%
2.16
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
FC Thun (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Lausanne +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
First team to score
FC Thun to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
FC Thun ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Thun / FT FC Thun✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
FC Thun – last 6
WDLWLL
30 Aug
@ FC ST. Gallen
4–3
W
27 Aug
vs Lech Poznan
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Lech Poznan
0–7
L
16 Aug
@ Saxon Sports
6–0
W
13 Aug
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
9 Aug
@ FC Basel 1893
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lausanne – last 6
LLWDWL
29 Aug
vs FC Zurich
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ FC Luzern
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Kosova Neuchatel
6–0
W
8 Aug
vs BSC Young Boys
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ FC Basel 1893
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Saint Etienne
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and Lausanne.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FC Thun vs Lausanne?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lausanne 34%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs Lausanne?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs Lausanne?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 2–1 Lausanne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs Lausanne?
FC Thun vs Lausanne (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
