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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Luzern v FC Basel 1893: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Thermoplan Arena
2–4
FT
FC Luzern 44%Draw 20%FC Basel 1893 36% Expected goals 1.78 – 1.58
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Luzern to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Super League brings FC Luzern against FC Basel 1893 at Thermoplan Arena. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, FC Luzern are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; FC Basel 1893 are 7th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Luzern, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with BSC Young Boys, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

FC Basel 1893, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Lugano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours FC Luzern, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for FC Basel 1893.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended FC Luzern 4–2 FC Basel 1893.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Luzern 1.8 xG, FC Basel 1893 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Luzern 44%, draw 20%, FC Basel 1893 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Luzern 1–1 FC Basel 1893. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Luzern44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
FC Basel 189336%fair 2.77 · @2.90
3.36Expected goals
1.78FC Luzern xG
1.58FC Basel 1893 xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%

From our goals model: FC Luzern 1.8 – 1.6 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Luzern to win ✗44%2.262.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.36
Draw no betFC Luzern (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapFC Basel 1893 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
First team to scoreFC Luzern to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Luzern / FT FC Luzern ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

FC Luzern – last 6

DWDWWD
5 Sep@ BSC Young Boys3–3D
2 Sepvs FC Vaduz2–1W
29 Aug@ Servette FC1–1D
22 Augvs Lausanne1–0W
16 Aug@ Buochs3–0W
9 Aug@ FC ST. Gallen2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Basel 1893 – last 6

LLDWLW
6 Sepvs FC Lugano1–3L
3 Sepvs FC Sion1–2L
29 Aug@ BSC Young Boys3–3D
22 Aug@ FC Zurich2–1W
16 Augvs Barcelona2–5L
15 Aug@ Courtételle6–1W
2.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026FC Luzern v FC Basel 18934–2
FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?

On our numbers FC Luzern have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Basel 1893 36%.

How many goals will there be in FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?

Our predicted score is FC Luzern 1–1 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893?

FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Thermoplan Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.