Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Lugano to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Lausanne vs FC Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Lugano travel to face Lausanne on Sunday 20 September in the Super League, with Stade de la Tuiliere the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Lausanne are 12th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 13 matches; FC Lugano are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lausanne, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Servette FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FC Lugano, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over FC ST. Gallen, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours FC Lugano, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Lausanne.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended FC Lugano 2–1 Lausanne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lausanne 0.9 xG, FC Lugano 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lausanne 16%, draw 21%, FC Lugano 63%.
Lower-risk option: FC Lugano or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: FC Lugano to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Lugano or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lausanne 0–2 FC Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lausanne16%fair 6.36 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
FC Lugano63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
0.93Lausanne xG
2.07FC Lugano xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Lausanne 0.9 – 2.1 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FC Lugano or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers Lausanne have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Lugano 63%.
How many goals will there be in Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is Lausanne 0–2 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lausanne vs FC Lugano?
Lausanne vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Tuiliere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
