Value bet: Beitar Jerusalem to win @ 2.42 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBeitar Jerusalem to win ✗45% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Beitar Jerusalem travel to face Hapoel Tel Aviv on Thursday 3 September in the Ligat Ha'al, with Bloomfield Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Tel Aviv are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Beitar Jerusalem are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Hapoel Tel Aviv, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Haifa, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Beitar Jerusalem, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Maccabi Netanya, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Beitar Jerusalem 2–2 Hapoel Tel Aviv. The last 2 head-to-heads: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 wins, Beitar Jerusalem 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.2 xG, Beitar Jerusalem 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Tel Aviv 34%, draw 21%, Beitar Jerusalem 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Beitar Jerusalem to win @2.42 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Tel Aviv34%fair 2.93 · @2.58
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.45
Beitar Jerusalem45%fair 2.24 · @2.42
2.67Expected goals
1.22Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
1.45Beitar Jerusalem xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.2 – 1.5 Beitar Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
On our numbers Hapoel Tel Aviv have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beitar Jerusalem 45%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Tel Aviv 1–1 Beitar Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem (Ligat Ha'al) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
