Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the J3 League brings Renofa Yamaguchi against Thespakusatsu Gunma at Ishin Me-Life Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Thespakusatsu Gunma are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gainare Tottori, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fukushima United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.7 xG, Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 58%, draw 21%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 22%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Renofa Yamaguchi to win (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renofa Yamaguchi58%fair 1.74 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
Thespakusatsu Gunma22%fair 4.59 · @4.40
2.70Expected goals
1.75Renofa Yamaguchi xG
0.95Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.7 – 1.0 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Draw no bet
Renofa Yamaguchi (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Thespakusatsu Gunma +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Renofa Yamaguchi to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
WLDLLW
5 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Osaka
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Nara Club
1–3
L
19 Aug
@ Kagoshima United
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
LLWLLW
5 Sep
vs Fukushima United
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Parceiro Nagano
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Tohoku Gakuin University
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Thespakusatsu Gunma.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 22%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
