Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Roasso Kumamoto welcome Matsumoto Yamaga to Egao Kenko Stadium for a J3 League fixture on Friday 18 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Roasso Kumamoto are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fukushima United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sagamihara, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Roasso Kumamoto, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Matsumoto Yamaga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roasso Kumamoto 1.1 xG, Matsumoto Yamaga 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roasso Kumamoto 40%, draw 24%, Matsumoto Yamaga 36%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roasso Kumamoto40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Matsumoto Yamaga36%fair 2.81 · @2.80
2.08Expected goals
1.09Roasso Kumamoto xG
0.99Matsumoto Yamaga xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 1.1 – 1.0 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roasso Kumamoto to win✗
40%
2.48
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.75
Draw no bet
Roasso Kumamoto (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Matsumoto Yamaga +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Roasso Kumamoto to score first✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roasso Kumamoto / FT Roasso Kumamoto✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.66
–
Recent results
Roasso Kumamoto – last 6
WDWWLD
12 Sep
@ Fukushima United
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Nara Club
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Oita Trinita
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kochi United
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Gainare Tottori
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
LDDDDL
13 Sep
vs Sagamihara
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Shonan Bellmare
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Osaka
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Ehime FC
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Matsumoto Yamaga 36%.
How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
