Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSagamihara to win ✗55% · @1.85
Double chanceSagamihara or draw ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kitakyushu travel to face Sagamihara on Sunday 20 September in the J3 League, with Sagamihara Gion Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, Sagamihara are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Kitakyushu are 13th (lower half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sagamihara, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Matsumoto Yamaga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kitakyushu, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Gainare Tottori, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sagamihara, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Kitakyushu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sagamihara 2.0 xG, Kitakyushu 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sagamihara 55%, draw 24%, Kitakyushu 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sagamihara or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sagamihara or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagamihara 1–1 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sagamihara55%fair 1.82 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.30
Kitakyushu22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
1.98Sagamihara xG
1.19Kitakyushu xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 2.0 – 1.2 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagamihara to win✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Double chance
Sagamihara or draw✗
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Draw no bet
Sagamihara (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Kitakyushu +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Sagamihara to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Sagamihara ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagamihara / FT Sagamihara✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Sagamihara – last 6
WDLLWW
13 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ FC Ryukyu
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Kanazawa
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kitakyushu – last 6
LLLWDD
12 Sep
vs Gainare Tottori
2–4
L
9 Sep
@ FC Ryukyu
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Ehime FC
2–4
L
2 Sep
vs Iwaki
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Tochigi SC
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Kitakyushu.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Sagamihara or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kitakyushu 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu?
Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
