Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Tochigi SC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTochigi SC to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceTochigi SC or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tochigi SC travel to face Kamatamare Sanuki on Sunday 4 October in the J3 League, with Pikara the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Kamatamare Sanuki are 18th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Tochigi SC are 12th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Kamatamare Sanuki, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to FC Gifu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Tochigi SC, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Matsumoto Yamaga, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tochigi SC, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Kamatamare Sanuki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kamatamare Sanuki 1.1 xG, Tochigi SC 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kamatamare Sanuki 17%, draw 22%, Tochigi SC 61%.
Lower-risk option: Tochigi SC or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Tochigi SC to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tochigi SC or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kamatamare Sanuki 1–2 Tochigi SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kamatamare Sanuki17%fair 5.87 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Tochigi SC61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
3.25Expected goals
1.08Kamatamare Sanuki xG
2.17Tochigi SC xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Kamatamare Sanuki 1.1 – 2.2 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi SC to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Tochigi SC or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Draw no bet
Tochigi SC (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Tochigi SC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Tochigi SC to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Tochigi SC ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Kamatamare Sanuki – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Sep
vs FC Gifu
3–4
L
19 Sep
@ Ehime FC
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ FC Ryukyu
0–1
L
9 Sep
vs JEF United Chiba
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Biwako Shiga
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Kagoshima United
3–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tochigi SC – last 6
LLDLWL
26 Sep
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ FC Gifu
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kamatamare Sanuki and Tochigi SC.
What is the prediction for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
Our pick is Tochigi SC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
On our numbers Kamatamare Sanuki have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tochigi SC 61%.
How many goals will there be in Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
Our predicted score is Kamatamare Sanuki 1–2 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Pikara.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
