Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Matsumoto Yamaga welcome Gainare Tottori to Sunpro Alwin for a J3 League fixture on Saturday 3 October (06:00 WAT). In the table, Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Gainare Tottori are 17th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Albirex Niigata, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gainare Tottori, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 2.0 xG, Gainare Tottori 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 61%, draw 21%, Gainare Tottori 18%.
Lower-risk option: Matsumoto Yamaga or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Gainare Tottori. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Matsumoto Yamaga61%fair 1.64 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.75
Gainare Tottori18%fair 5.45 · @4.75
2.94Expected goals
1.97Matsumoto Yamaga xG
0.97Gainare Tottori xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 2.0 – 1.0 Gainare Tottori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matsumoto Yamaga to win✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Double chance
Matsumoto Yamaga or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Draw no bet
Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Matsumoto Yamaga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Matsumoto Yamaga to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Matsumoto Yamaga ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
WWDLDD
29 Sep
vs Albirex Niigata
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Tochigi SC
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sagamihara
1–3
L
9 Sep
vs Shonan Bellmare
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Osaka
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gainare Tottori – last 6
WLLWLW
29 Sep
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Kanazawa
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Nara Club
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
4–2
W
5 Sep
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0–3
L
2 Sep
vs Omiya Ardija
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Gainare Tottori.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gainare Tottori 18%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Gainare Tottori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Gainare Tottori (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
