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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nara Club v Kitakyushu: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Konoike Athletic Stadium
2–0
FT
Nara Club 60%Draw 15%Kitakyushu 25% Expected goals 2.20 – 1.30
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Nara Club to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNara Club to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Nara Club vs Kitakyushu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Nara Club v Kitakyushu in the J3 League, played at Konoike Athletic Stadium. In the table, Nara Club are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Kitakyushu are 13th (lower half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nara Club, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Parceiro Nagano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Kitakyushu, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kochi United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nara Club, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Kitakyushu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nara Club 2.2 xG, Kitakyushu 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nara Club 60%, draw 15%, Kitakyushu 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Nara Club to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nara Club 2–1 Kitakyushu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nara Club60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.77 · @3.30
Kitakyushu25%fair 4.02 · @3.25
3.50Expected goals
2.20Nara Club xG
1.30Kitakyushu xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Nara Club 2.2 – 1.3 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNara Club to win ✓60%1.661.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.171.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.50
Draw no betNara Club (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapKitakyushu +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreNara Club to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultNara Club ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nara Club / FT Nara Club ✓37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Nara Club – last 6

WWWWDL
3 Oct@ Parceiro Nagano1–0W
26 Sepvs Biwako Shiga4–1W
19 Sep@ Gainare Tottori3–2W
12 Sepvs FC Gifu2–1W
6 Sep@ Roasso Kumamoto2–2D
2 Sepvs Sagan Tosu1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kitakyushu – last 6

WLDWLL
3 Octvs Kochi United2–0W
29 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus1–3L
26 Sepvs Kagoshima United1–1D
20 Sep@ Sagamihara2–1W
12 Sepvs Gainare Tottori2–4L
9 Sep@ FC Ryukyu0–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nara Club and Kitakyushu.

Nara Club vs Kitakyushu head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?

On our numbers Nara Club have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Kitakyushu 25%.

How many goals will there be in Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?

Our predicted score is Nara Club 2–1 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Nara Club vs Kitakyushu?

Nara Club vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Konoike Athletic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.