Value bet: FC Ryukyu to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Ryukyu to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tochigi SC travel to face FC Ryukyu on Saturday 17 October in the J3 League, with Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, FC Ryukyu are 11th, lower half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Tochigi SC are 12th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Ryukyu, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Thespakusatsu Gunma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Tochigi SC, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Renofa Yamaguchi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours FC Ryukyu, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Tochigi SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Ryukyu 1.3 xG, Tochigi SC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Ryukyu 40%, draw 24%, Tochigi SC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: FC Ryukyu to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Ryukyu 1–1 Tochigi SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Ryukyu40%fair 2.51 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Tochigi SC36%fair 2.78 · @2.38
2.55Expected goals
1.32FC Ryukyu xG
1.23Tochigi SC xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: FC Ryukyu 1.3 – 1.2 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Ryukyu to win✓
40%
2.51
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Draw no bet
FC Ryukyu (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Tochigi SC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
FC Ryukyu to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Ryukyu / FT FC Ryukyu✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
FC Ryukyu – last 6
LLDLWW
10 Oct
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Kanazawa
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Ehime FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Biwako Shiga
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Kamatamare Sanuki
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Kitakyushu
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tochigi SC – last 6
LDLLDL
11 Oct
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ryukyu and Tochigi SC.
What is the prediction for FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
On our numbers FC Ryukyu have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tochigi SC 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
Our predicted score is FC Ryukyu 1–1 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?
FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
