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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Roasso Kumamoto v Gainare Tottori: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Egao Kenko Stadium
3–0
FT
Roasso Kumamoto 64%Draw 24%Gainare Tottori 12% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.57
88%
Betarazi pick

Roasso Kumamoto or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Roasso Kumamoto to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceRoasso Kumamoto or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85

Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 21 October the J3 League brings Roasso Kumamoto against Gainare Tottori at Egao Kenko Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Roasso Kumamoto are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Gainare Tottori are 17th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kamatamare Sanuki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Gainare Tottori, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Thespakusatsu Gunma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Aug 2026) it ended Gainare Tottori 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. The last 3 head-to-heads: Roasso Kumamoto 1 win, Gainare Tottori 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Roasso Kumamoto 1.7 xG, Gainare Tottori 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Roasso Kumamoto 64%, draw 24%, Gainare Tottori 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Roasso Kumamoto or draw (88%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Roasso Kumamoto to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Roasso Kumamoto or draw (88%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roasso Kumamoto 1–0 Gainare Tottori. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Roasso Kumamoto64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Gainare Tottori12%fair 8.18 · @4.20
2.23Expected goals
1.66Roasso Kumamoto xG
0.57Gainare Tottori xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 1.7 – 0.6 Gainare Tottori expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✓64%1.561.67 ▲
Double chanceRoasso Kumamoto or draw ✓88%1.141.20 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.67
Draw no betRoasso Kumamoto (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapRoasso Kumamoto -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreRoasso Kumamoto to score first ✓66%1.50–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Roasso Kumamoto / FT Roasso Kumamoto ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.85–

Recent results

Roasso Kumamoto – last 6

WLDLWD
18 Oct@ Kamatamare Sanuki3–0W
11 Octvs Ehime FC0–2L
2 Oct@ Biwako Shiga0–0D
29 Sepvs Kawasaki Frontale0–1L
26 Sep@ Thespakusatsu Gunma1–0W
18 Sepvs Matsumoto Yamaga0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Gainare Tottori – last 6

DLLDWW
17 Octvs Thespakusatsu Gunma1–1D
14 Octvs Cerezo Osaka2–3L
11 Octvs FC Gifu0–1L
7 Octvs Tokyo Verdy0–0D
3 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
29 Sepvs V-varen Nagasaki2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Aug 2026Gainare Tottori v Roasso Kumamoto1–1
25 Apr 2026Gainare Tottori v Roasso Kumamoto0–2
15 Mar 2026Roasso Kumamoto v Gainare Tottori0–1
Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?

Our pick is Roasso Kumamoto or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?

On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gainare Tottori 12%.

How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?

Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–0 Gainare Tottori, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori?

Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori (J3 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.