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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Matsumoto Yamaga v Kanazawa: numbers & prediction

J3 League · Japan · Sunpro Alwin
0–1
FT
Matsumoto Yamaga 39%Draw 23%Kanazawa 37% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.32
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
2

Value bet: Kanazawa to win @ 3.08 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗39% · @2.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kanazawa travel to face Matsumoto Yamaga on Saturday 7 November in the J3 League, with Sunpro Alwin the venue – the ball rolls at 06:30 WAT. In the table, Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Kanazawa are 9th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kamatamare Sanuki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Kanazawa, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Parceiro Nagano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 xG, Kanazawa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 39%, draw 23%, Kanazawa 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.63.
  • Price worth noting: Kanazawa to win @3.08 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Kanazawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matsumoto Yamaga39%fair 2.54 · @2.17
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.97
Kanazawa37%fair 2.69 · @3.08
2.69Expected goals
1.37Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.32Kanazawa xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 – 1.3 Kanazawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗39%2.542.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.63
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapKanazawa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.81
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.10
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first ✗47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.91–

Recent results

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

LWLWLL
3 Nov@ Kamatamare Sanuki0–1L
31 Oct@ Fukushima United3–1W
25 Octvs Renofa Yamaguchi0–2L
21 Octvs Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0W
18 Oct@ Parceiro Nagano1–2L
14 Octvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kanazawa – last 6

LWWLLD
3 Novvs Parceiro Nagano0–2L
31 Octvs Thespakusatsu Gunma4–0W
25 Oct@ Biwako Shiga5–1W
21 Oct@ Kamatamare Sanuki1–3L
17 Octvs Nara Club0–1L
9 Oct@ Osaka1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Kanazawa.

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa head-to-head page →

J3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nara Club161024+1232
2FC Gifu161015+1431
3Sagamihara16943+1131
4Kagoshima United16943+1031
5Renofa Yamaguchi16934+930
6Osaka16853+1129
7Ehime FC16925+629
8Roasso Kumamoto16664+624
9Kanazawa16727+723
10Parceiro Nagano16727+123
11FC Ryukyu16727023
12Tochigi SC16565-121
13Kitakyushu16547-319
14Fukushima United16538-218
15Matsumoto Yamaga16457-317
16Biwako Shiga16529-917
17Gainare Tottori16439-1515
18Kamatamare Sanuki164210-1014
19Thespakusatsu Gunma164111-1813
20Kochi United162311-269

More J3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kanazawa 37%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Kanazawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kanazawa (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.