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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · National Olympic Stadium
1–3
FT
Tokyo Verdy 19%Draw 22%Kashiwa Reysol 59% Expected goals 0.79 – 1.64
81%
Betarazi pick

Kashiwa Reysol or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tokyo Verdy welcome Kashiwa Reysol to National Olympic Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Friday 14 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20.

Current form

Tokyo Verdy, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kawasaki Frontale, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mito Hollyhock, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Kashiwa Reysol, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Tokyo Verdy.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tokyo Verdy 2 wins, Kashiwa Reysol 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 0.8 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 19%, draw 22%, Kashiwa Reysol 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Kashiwa Reysol to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kashiwa Reysol or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tokyo Verdy19%fair 5.17 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Kashiwa Reysol59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
2.43Expected goals
0.79Tokyo Verdy xG
1.64Kashiwa Reysol xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%

From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.8 – 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓59%1.701.90 ▲
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.95
Draw no betKashiwa Reysol (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapTokyo Verdy +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.291.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.06
First team to scoreKashiwa Reysol to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

Tokyo Verdy – last 6

DLDLWL
9 Augvs Kawasaki Frontale1–1D
6 Junvs Gamba Osaka2–4L
30 May@ Gamba Osaka1–1D
24 Mayvs Yokohama F. Marinos0–6L
16 May@ Mito Hollyhock1–0W
10 May@ FC Tokyo1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

WDLWWW
8 Augvs Mito Hollyhock2–1W
1 Aug@ JEF United Chiba0–0D
6 Junvs Kyoto Sanga0–1L
30 May@ Kyoto Sanga6–2W
23 Mayvs JEF United Chiba4–2W
16 May@ Yokohama F. Marinos1–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol1–0
15 Feb 2026Kashiwa Reysol v Tokyo Verdy1–2
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our pick is Kashiwa Reysol or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kashiwa Reysol 59%.

How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.