Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the J1 League brings Kashiwa Reysol against V-varen Nagasaki at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tokyo Verdy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Fagiano Okayama, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kashiwa Reysol, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 1.9 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 61%, draw 22%, V-varen Nagasaki 17%.
Lower-risk option: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashiwa Reysol61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.85
V-varen Nagasaki17%fair 6.04 · @4.75
2.77Expected goals
1.89Kashiwa Reysol xG
0.88V-varen Nagasaki xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 1.9 – 0.9 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Kashiwa Reysol (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Kashiwa Reysol -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Kashiwa Reysol to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
WWDLWW
14 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ JEF United Chiba
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–1
L
30 May
@ Kyoto Sanga
6–2
W
23 May
vs JEF United Chiba
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
LWLLWW
15 Aug
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
17 Jul
@ Utrecht
2–3
L
14 Jul
@ NEC Nijmegen
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
30 May
vs Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and V-varen Nagasaki 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
