Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the J1 League brings Kashima against Gamba Osaka at Mercari Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Gamba Osaka are 5th (upper half) with 28. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ventforet Kofu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Gamba Osaka, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Kashiwa Reysol, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.2 xG, Gamba Osaka 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 59%, draw 22%, Gamba Osaka 18%.
Lower-risk option: Kashima or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kashima or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–1 Gamba Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Gamba Osaka18%fair 5.41 · @4.00
3.44Expected goals
2.23Kashima xG
1.21Gamba Osaka xG
62%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.2 – 1.2 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Kashima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
Kashima to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 6
WDWLLL
23 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Newcastle Jets
7–1
W
11 Sep
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Urawa
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Mito Hollyhock
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
DWLWLL
3 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–3
D
23 Sep
vs Tokushima Vortis
5–0
W
20 Sep
vs Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Công An Nhân Dân
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ JEF United Chiba
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Kashima have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gamba Osaka 18%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Gamba Osaka?
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vissel Kobe2