Fagiano Okayama 15%Draw 25%FC Tokyo 60%Expected goals 0.87 – 1.92
85%
Betarazi pick
FC Tokyo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tokyo travel to face Fagiano Okayama on Saturday 31 October in the J1 League, with JFE Harenokuni Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37.
Current form
Fagiano Okayama, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
FC Tokyo, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Mito Hollyhock, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Fagiano Okayama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 0.9 xG, FC Tokyo 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 15%, draw 25%, FC Tokyo 60%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: FC Tokyo to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 0–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fagiano Okayama15%fair 6.70 · @3.75
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.40
FC Tokyo60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
2.79Expected goals
0.87Fagiano Okayama xG
1.92FC Tokyo xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 0.9 – 1.9 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
FC Tokyo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
FC Tokyo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
FC Tokyo to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LWLDLW
25 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–2
L
21 Oct
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
14 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
L
7 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 6
WDWLWW
25 Oct
vs Mito Hollyhock
6–0
W
21 Oct
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Tokyo Verdy
4–0
W
14 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Urawa
3–0
W
7 Oct
vs Shonan Bellmare
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is FC Tokyo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Tokyo 60%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 0–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo?
Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kyoto Sanga2
Shimizu S-pulse0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Cerezo Osaka1
Vissel Kobe3
Nagoya Grampus1