V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: V-varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League, played at Peace Stadium. In the table, V-varen Nagasaki are 9th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Tokyo Verdy are 5th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Urawa, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Avispa Fukuoka, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give V-varen Nagasaki 1.4 xG, Tokyo Verdy 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – V-varen Nagasaki 43%, draw 23%, Tokyo Verdy 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
V-varen Nagasaki43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Tokyo Verdy34%fair 2.98 · @2.90
2.67Expected goals
1.44V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.23Tokyo Verdy xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.4 – 1.2 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
V-varen Nagasaki to win✗
43%
2.31
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.83
Draw no bet
V-varen Nagasaki (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Tokyo Verdy +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
V-varen Nagasaki to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT V-varen Nagasaki / FT V-varen Nagasaki✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
LWLDDL
25 Oct
@ Urawa
0–1
L
21 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ JEF United Chiba
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
WDLLDD
24 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–1
W
21 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–2
L
7 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
0–0
D
29 Sep
@ Sagan Tosu
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between V-varen Nagasaki and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tokyo Verdy 34%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka0
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