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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Machida GION Stadium

Machida Zelvia

WDWDW
0–0
FT

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

WLWLW
Machida Zelvia 34%Draw 22%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.60
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗45% · @2.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League, played at Machida GION Stadium. In the table, Machida Zelvia are 3rd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Machida Zelvia, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shanghai Shenhua, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mito Hollyhock, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 1.3 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 34%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.63.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Machida Zelvia34%fair 2.98 · @2.92
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.38
Sanfrecce Hiroshima45%fair 2.24 · @2.29
2.95Expected goals
1.35Machida Zelvia xG
1.60Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.3 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗45%2.242.29
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.63
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.10
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✗51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.05–

Recent results

Machida Zelvia – last 6

WDWDWW
5 Novvs Shanghai Shenhua2–1W
1 Novvs Gamba Osaka0–0D
29 Oct@ Shanghai Shenhua1–0W
24 Oct@ Vissel Kobe0–0D
21 Oct@ Shimizu S-pulse5–0W
18 Octvs Avispa Fukuoka3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WLWLWW
31 Oct@ Mito Hollyhock3–0W
28 Oct@ Yokohama F. Marinos3–4L
24 Octvs Shimizu S-pulse4–0W
21 Oct@ V-varen Nagasaki0–4L
17 Octvs Kyoto Sanga3–0W
14 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Vissel Kobe2 Urawa2 147%2.13X21%3.48232%3.14 1.7–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.36 ✗
FT Gamba Osaka2 Cerezo Osaka3 143%2.28X22%3.44235%2.89 1.5–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.38 ✗
FT JEF United Chiba1 Mito Hollyhock0 152%1.99X22%3.40226%3.60 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%.

How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.