Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Dainava to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDainava to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceDainava or draw ✗80% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 15.52
Garliava vs Dainava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dainava travel to face Garliava on Friday 2 October in the 1 Lyga – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Garliava are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Dainava are 7th (upper half) with 48. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Garliava, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Kauno Žalgiris II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Dainava, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hegelmann II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Dainava, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Garliava.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Jun 2026) it ended Dainava 1–0 Garliava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Garliava 0.9 xG, Dainava 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Garliava 20%, draw 21%, Dainava 59%.
Lower-risk option: Dainava or draw (80%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Dainava to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dainava or draw (80%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Garliava 0–1 Dainava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Garliava20%fair 4.98 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.60
Dainava59%fair 1.68 · @1.83
2.61Expected goals
0.87Garliava xG
1.74Dainava xG
44%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: Garliava 0.9 – 1.7 Dainava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Dainava or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Garliava vs Dainava?
On our numbers Garliava have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dainava 59%.
How many goals will there be in Garliava vs Dainava?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Garliava vs Dainava?
Our predicted score is Garliava 0–1 Dainava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Garliava vs Dainava?
Garliava vs Dainava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
