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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hegelmann II v Garliava: numbers & prediction

1 Lyga · Lithuania
3–1
FT
Hegelmann II 25%Draw 22%Garliava 53% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.58
55%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultGarliava to win ✗53% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Hegelmann II vs Garliava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 7 August the 1 Lyga brings Hegelmann II against Garliava. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Hegelmann II are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Garliava are 11th (lower half) with 30. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Hegelmann II, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Minija, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Garliava, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Neptūną Klaipėda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Hegelmann II, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Garliava.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann II 1.3 xG, Garliava 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann II 25%, draw 22%, Garliava 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann II 1–2 Garliava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hegelmann II25%fair 3.98 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.50
Garliava53%fair 1.89 · @1.45
2.86Expected goals
1.28Hegelmann II xG
1.58Garliava xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Hegelmann II 1.3 – 1.6 Garliava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Hegelmann IIGarliava
Attack vs 1 Lyga average-8%-25%
Goals conceded vs average+36%+1%
Our expected goals here1.571.36

Our own ratings from every 1 Lyga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGarliava to win ✗53%1.891.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betGarliava (draw no bet) ✗68%1.48–
Asian handicapHegelmann II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreGarliava to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Garliava / FT Garliava ✗26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Hegelmann II – last 6

LLLLWW
31 Julvs Minija0–4L
25 Jul@ Atmosfera1–4L
21 Julvs Žalgiris II0–2L
2 Jul@ Žalgiris II1–3L
27 Junvs Jonava2–1W
20 Jun@ BFA1–0W
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Garliava – last 6

LLLWLL
1 Augvs Neptūną Klaipėda0–1L
25 Jul@ Jonava0–1L
26 Junvs Minija0–1L
19 Junvs Transinvest 23–0W
13 Jun@ Žalgiris II1–2L
8 Jun@ Dainava0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann II and Garliava.

Hegelmann II vs Garliava head-to-head page →

1 Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Minija302424+5774
2Babrungas302352+4274
3Be1 NFA301857+2059
4Žalgiris II301659+953
5Tauras301569+1451
6BFA3015510+550
7Dainava301398+1548
8Neptūną Klaipėda3014313-445
9Atmosfera3011811+1041
10Jonava308814-732
11Garliava308616-530
12Kauno Žalgiris II309219-2329
13Transinvest 2308517-2829
14Hegelmann II308418-2928
15FA Šiauliai II304620-3818
16Ekranas305322-3818

More 1 Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

On our numbers Hegelmann II have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Garliava 53%.

How many goals will there be in Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

Our predicted score is Hegelmann II 1–2 Garliava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Hegelmann II vs Garliava?

Hegelmann II vs Garliava (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.