Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Babrungas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBabrungas to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceBabrungas or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
BFA vs Babrungas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
BFA welcome Babrungas for a 1 Lyga fixture on Friday 4 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, BFA are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Babrungas are 2nd (among the top four) with 74. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
BFA, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tauras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Babrungas, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Garliava, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Babrungas 4–0 BFA. The last 2 head-to-heads: BFA 1 win, Babrungas 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFA 0.7 xG, Babrungas 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFA 15%, draw 24%, Babrungas 61%.
Lower-risk option: Babrungas or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Babrungas to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Babrungas or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFA 0–1 Babrungas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFA15%fair 6.53 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Babrungas61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
2.48Expected goals
0.74BFA xG
1.74Babrungas xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: BFA 0.7 – 1.7 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Babrungas or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win BFA vs Babrungas?
On our numbers BFA have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Babrungas 61%.
How many goals will there be in BFA vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFA vs Babrungas?
Our predicted score is BFA 0–1 Babrungas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is BFA vs Babrungas?
BFA vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
