Value bet: BFA to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBFA to win ✓45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.11
Garliava vs BFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the 1 Lyga brings Garliava against BFA. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Garliava are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; BFA are 6th (upper half) with 50. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Garliava, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ekranas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
BFA, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Babrungas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BFA, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Garliava.
Head to head
When they last met (19 May 2026) it ended BFA 2–1 Garliava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Garliava 1.2 xG, BFA 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Garliava 34%, draw 22%, BFA 45%.
Price worth noting: BFA to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (78%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Garliava 0–1 BFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Garliava34%fair 2.95 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.35
BFA45%fair 2.24 · @2.40
2.53Expected goals
1.15Garliava xG
1.38BFA xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Garliava 1.2 – 1.4 BFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Garliava have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and BFA 45%.
How many goals will there be in Garliava vs BFA?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Garliava vs BFA?
Our predicted score is Garliava 0–1 BFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Garliava vs BFA?
Garliava vs BFA (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
