Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultMinija to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceMinija or draw ✗88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Minija vs Babrungas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Babrungas travel to face Minija on Saturday 17 October in the 1 Lyga – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Minija are 1st, leading the league, on 74 points after 30 matches; Babrungas are 2nd (among the top four) with 74. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Minija, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kauno Žalgiris, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Babrungas, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jonava, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Minija 1.9 xG, Babrungas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Minija 64%, draw 23%, Babrungas 12%.
Lower-risk option: Minija or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Minija to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minija 1–0 Babrungas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Minija64%fair 1.55 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
Babrungas12%fair 8.05 · @5.00
2.69Expected goals
1.94Minija xG
0.75Babrungas xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Minija 1.9 – 0.7 Babrungas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minija to win✗
64%
1.55
1.55
Double chance
Minija or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Draw no bet
Minija (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Minija -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Minija to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Minija ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minija / FT Minija✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Minija – last 6
LWWWWW
11 Oct
vs Kauno Žalgiris
0–3
L
2 Oct
vs Kauno Žalgiris II
5–0
W
19 Sep
vs Neptūną Klaipėda
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Dainava
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Transinvest 2
3–0
W
1 Sep
vs Dainava
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Babrungas – last 6
WWWLWD
10 Oct
vs Jonava
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Žalgiris II
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Atmosfera
3–2
W
4 Sep
@ BFA
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Garliava
1–0
W
21 Aug
vs Tauras
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Babrungas.
Our pick is Minija to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Minija vs Babrungas?
On our numbers Minija have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Babrungas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Babrungas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minija vs Babrungas?
Our predicted score is Minija 1–0 Babrungas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Minija vs Babrungas?
Minija vs Babrungas (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
