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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

BFA v Minija: numbers & prediction

1 Lyga · Lithuania

BFA

LLDWW
2–1
FT

Minija

LLWWW
BFA 14%Draw 20%Minija 66% Expected goals 0.91 – 2.17
66%
Betarazi pick

Minija to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultMinija to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceMinija or draw ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.76

BFA vs Minija: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Minija travel to face BFA on Saturday 24 October in the 1 Lyga – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, BFA are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 30 matches; Minija are 1st (leading the league) with 74. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

BFA, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Jonava, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Minija, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Babrungas, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Minija, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for BFA.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Minija 3–0 BFA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BFA 0.9 xG, Minija 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – BFA 14%, draw 20%, Minija 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Minija to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFA 0–2 Minija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BFA14%fair 6.95 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.90
Minija66%fair 1.52 · @1.55
3.08Expected goals
0.91BFA xG
2.17Minija xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: BFA 0.9 – 2.2 Minija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinija to win ✗66%1.521.55
Double chanceMinija or draw ✗86%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Draw no betMinija (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapMinija -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreMinija to score first ✗67%1.49–
Half-time resultMinija ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minija / FT Minija ✗43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8%12.76–

Recent results

BFA – last 6

LLDWWD
16 Oct@ Jonava0–3L
9 Octvs Žalgiris II1–2L
19 Sep@ Atmosfera1–1D
12 Sep@ Garliava3–2W
4 Sepvs Babrungas2–1W
28 Aug@ Tauras2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Minija – last 6

LLWWWW
17 Octvs Babrungas2–3L
11 Octvs Kauno Žalgiris0–3L
2 Octvs Kauno Žalgiris II5–0W
19 Sepvs Neptūną Klaipėda2–1W
12 Sep@ Dainava3–0W
5 Sepvs Transinvest 23–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Minija v BFA3–0
BFA vs Minija head-to-head page →

1 Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Minija302424+5774
2Babrungas302352+4274
3Be1 NFA301857+2059
4Žalgiris II301659+953
5Tauras301569+1451
6BFA3015510+550
7Dainava301398+1548
8Neptūną Klaipėda3014313-445
9Atmosfera3011811+1041
10Jonava308814-732
11Garliava308616-530
12Kauno Žalgiris II309219-2329
13Transinvest 2308517-2829
14Hegelmann II308418-2928
15FA Šiauliai II304620-3818
16Ekranas305322-3818

More 1 Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BFA vs Minija?

Our pick is Minija to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win BFA vs Minija?

On our numbers BFA have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Minija 66%.

How many goals will there be in BFA vs Minija?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BFA vs Minija?

Our predicted score is BFA 0–2 Minija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is BFA vs Minija?

BFA vs Minija (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.