Jonava 60%Draw 23%Hegelmann II 16%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.98
84%
Betarazi pick
Jonava or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Jonava to win @ 1.82 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJonava to win ✗60% · @1.82
Double chanceJonava or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Jonava vs Hegelmann II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hegelmann II travel to face Jonava on Saturday 7 November in the 1 Lyga – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Jonava are 10th, lower half, on 32 points after 30 matches; Hegelmann II are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28.
Current form
Jonava, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Žalgiris II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Hegelmann II, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with BFA, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Hegelmann II 2–1 Jonava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jonava 2.0 xG, Hegelmann II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jonava 60%, draw 23%, Hegelmann II 16%.
Lower-risk option: Jonava or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.52.
Price worth noting: Jonava to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Jonava or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jonava 2–0 Hegelmann II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jonava60%fair 1.66 · @1.82
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.56
Hegelmann II16%fair 6.15 · @3.59
3.02Expected goals
2.03Jonava xG
0.98Hegelmann II xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Jonava 2.0 – 1.0 Hegelmann II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
Our pick is Jonava or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
On our numbers Jonava have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hegelmann II 16%.
How many goals will there be in Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
Our predicted score is Jonava 2–0 Hegelmann II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Jonava vs Hegelmann II?
Jonava vs Hegelmann II (1 Lyga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
