Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓51% · @3.30
Double chanceMladost Ždralovi or draw ✓78% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13% · fair 7.92
Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Friday 21 August: Mladost Ždralovi v Vukovar in the First NL, played at Gradski stadion Sisak. In the table, Mladost Ždralovi are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 12 matches; Vukovar are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Mladost Ždralovi, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Varteks Varaždin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Vukovar, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 3–6 defeat to HNK Hajduk Split, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mladost Ždralovi, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for Vukovar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mladost Ždralovi 1.3 xG, Vukovar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mladost Ždralovi 26%, draw 51%, Vukovar 22%.
Lower-risk option: Mladost Ždralovi or draw (78%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mladost Ždralovi or draw (78%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.29, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mladost Ždralovi 1–1 Vukovar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mladost Ždralovi26%fair 3.81 · @2.30
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.30
Vukovar22%fair 4.45 · @2.62
2.57Expected goals
1.32Mladost Ždralovi xG
1.24Vukovar xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mladost Ždralovi 1.3 – 1.2 Vukovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
51%
1.95
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Mladost Ždralovi or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Mladost Ždralovi (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Vukovar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Mladost Ždralovi to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mladost Ždralovi / FT Mladost Ždralovi✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
13%
7.92
–
Recent results
Mladost Ždralovi – last 6
WWDDWW
14 Aug
@ Varteks Varaždin
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
29 May
vs Kustosija
3–3
D
23 May
@ Uskok Klis
3–2
W
1 May
vs Križevci
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vukovar – last 6
LLLLDL
22 May
@ HNK Hajduk Split
3–6
L
8 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–3
L
22 Apr
vs HNK Gorica
1–2
L
13 Apr
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–4
L
7 Apr
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ NK Varazdin
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mladost Ždralovi and Vukovar.
What is the prediction for Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
Our pick is Mladost Ždralovi or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
On our numbers Mladost Ždralovi have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Vukovar 22%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
Our predicted score is Mladost Ždralovi 1–1 Vukovar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar?
Mladost Ždralovi vs Vukovar (First NL) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Sisak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
