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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

USM Oujda v Chabab Atl. Khenifra: numbers & prediction

Botola 2 · Morocco
1–1
FT
USM Oujda 39%Draw 29%Chabab Atl. Khenifra 32% Expected goals 1.18 – 0.89
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: USM Oujda to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUSM Oujda to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73

USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 27 June the Botola 2 brings USM Oujda against Chabab Atl. Khenifra. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, USM Oujda are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Chabab Atl. Khenifra are 15th (in the drop zone) with 4.

Current form

USM Oujda, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Riadi Salmi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chabab Atl. Khenifra, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over KAC Kenitra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give USM Oujda 1.2 xG, Chabab Atl. Khenifra 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – USM Oujda 39%, draw 29%, Chabab Atl. Khenifra 32%.
  • Price worth noting: USM Oujda to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Oujda 1–0 Chabab Atl. Khenifra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

USM Oujda39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.62
Chabab Atl. Khenifra32%fair 3.15 · @2.55
2.07Expected goals
1.18USM Oujda xG
0.89Chabab Atl. Khenifra xG
44%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: USM Oujda 1.2 – 0.9 Chabab Atl. Khenifra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUSM Oujda to win ✗39%2.552.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.411.40
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.80–
Draw no betUSM Oujda (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapChabab Atl. Khenifra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreUSM Oujda to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT USM Oujda / FT USM Oujda ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.73–

Recent results

USM Oujda – last 6

LWLDDW
20 Jun@ Riadi Salmi0–2L
13 Junvs Union Sportive Boujaad1–0W
6 Jun@ Mouloudia Oujda1–2L
5 Aprvs Chabab Ben Guerir1–1D
29 Marvs Amal Tiznit0–0D
8 Marvs Raja Beni Mellal3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chabab Atl. Khenifra – last 6

WDWDLL
20 Junvs KAC Kenitra2–1W
13 Jun@ Raja Beni Mellal0–0D
7 Junvs Chabab Mohammédia1–0W
24 Mayvs Widad Témara1–1D
17 Mayvs CODM Meknès0–2L
22 Feb@ Wydad Fès0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between USM Oujda and Chabab Atl. Khenifra.

USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra head-to-head page →

Botola 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wydad Fès7511+816
2Ittihad Khemisset7511+716
3Olympique Dcheïra7511+716
4Yacoub El Mansour7421+414
5Stade Marocain7412+213
6USM Oujda7331012
7Olympique Khouribga7232+49
8KAC Kenitra723209
9Olympique Safi7232-19
10El Massira7223-18
11Mouloudia Oujda7223-28
12Chabab Ben Guerir7214-17
13Riadi Salmi7124-65
14Union Sportive Boujaad7043-54
15Chabab Atl. Khenifra7115-64
16Chabab Mohammédia7025-102

More Botola 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra?

On our numbers USM Oujda have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Chabab Atl. Khenifra 32%.

How many goals will there be in USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra?

Our predicted score is USM Oujda 1–0 Chabab Atl. Khenifra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra?

USM Oujda vs Chabab Atl. Khenifra (Botola 2) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.