Cerrito 34%Draw 27%Plaza Colonia 38%Expected goals 1.19 – 1.16
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Cerrito to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.08
Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plaza Colonia travel to face Cerrito on Sunday 28 June in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Cerrito are 8th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Plaza Colonia are 4th (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Cerrito, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to La Luz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Plaza Colonia, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atenas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.2 xG, Plaza Colonia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 34%, draw 27%, Plaza Colonia 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Cerrito to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–1 Plaza Colonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerrito34%fair 2.92 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.10
Plaza Colonia38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
2.35Expected goals
1.19Cerrito xG
1.16Plaza Colonia xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.2 – 1.2 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cerrito
Plaza Colonia
Attack vs Segunda División average
+2%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.05
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✗
38%
2.61
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Plaza Colonia (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Plaza Colonia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Cerrito to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerrito / FT Cerrito✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.08
–
Recent results
Cerrito – last 6
LLWWWD
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
7 Jun
vs Atenas
2–1
W
30 May
@ Paysandu
1–0
W
24 May
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs La Luz
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 6
LWDLWD
20 Jun
vs Atenas
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Paysandu
2–1
W
5 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–0
D
30 May
@ Uruguay Montevideo
0–2
L
22 May
vs Oriental
3–1
W
17 Apr
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerrito and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Plaza Colonia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia?
Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
