ST Mirren 38%Draw 25%ST Johnstone 37%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.66
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: ST Johnstone to win @ 2.92 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultST Mirren to win ✓38% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.30
ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ST Johnstone travel to face ST Mirren on Saturday 8 August in the Premiership, with The SMISA Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; ST Johnstone are 7th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ST Mirren, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Falkirk, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
ST Johnstone, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Kilmarnock, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Mirren 1.6 xG, ST Johnstone 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Mirren 38%, draw 25%, ST Johnstone 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: ST Johnstone to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Mirren 1–1 ST Johnstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Mirren38%fair 2.61 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.45
ST Johnstone37%fair 2.73 · @2.92
3.24Expected goals
1.58ST Mirren xG
1.66ST Johnstone xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.6 – 1.7 ST Johnstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Mirren to win✓
38%
2.61
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73
Draw no bet
ST Mirren (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
ST Mirren +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.11
First team to score
ST Johnstone to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Johnstone / FT ST Johnstone✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
ST Mirren – last 6
WLWWWW
1 Aug
@ Falkirk
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs East Kilbride
4–3
W
18 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–0
W
11 Jul
@ Dumbarton
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Arbroath
4–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ST Johnstone – last 6
WDLWWW
2 Aug
vs Kilmarnock
4–3
W
25 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Inverness CT
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Morton
3–0
W
14 Jul
@ Linlithgow Rose
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Mirren and ST Johnstone.
What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ST Johnstone 37%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 ST Johnstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone?
ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
