ST Mirren vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: ST Mirren v Motherwell in the Premiership, played at The SMISA Stadium. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Motherwell are 9th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ST Mirren, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Rangers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Motherwell, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ST Mirren, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Motherwell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Mirren 0.8 xG, Motherwell 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Mirren 39%, draw 23%, Motherwell 38%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Mirren 1–1 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Mirren39%fair 2.53 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Motherwell38%fair 2.64 · @2.70
1.50Expected goals
0.76ST Mirren xG
0.74Motherwell xG
50%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 0.8 – 0.7 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ST Mirren to win✗
39%
2.53
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.73
Draw no bet
ST Mirren (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Motherwell +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
ST Mirren to score first
40%
2.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
5%
20.88
–
Recent results
ST Mirren – last 6
LWWLWW
16 Aug
@ Rangers
1–5
L
8 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Falkirk
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs East Kilbride
4–3
W
18 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
LLDWDD
27 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs SC Freiburg
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Stenhousemuir
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs HJK Helsinki
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Falkirk
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Mirren and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Motherwell 38%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
ST Mirren vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
