Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAberdeen to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceAberdeen or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Aberdeen v Kilmarnock in the Premiership, played at Pittodrie Stadium. In the table, Aberdeen are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Kilmarnock are 12th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aberdeen, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Celtic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Kilmarnock, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ST Mirren, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aberdeen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Kilmarnock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 2.2 xG, Kilmarnock 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 59%, draw 21%, Kilmarnock 20%.
Lower-risk option: Aberdeen or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aberdeen or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aberdeen59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.75
Kilmarnock20%fair 4.97 · @4.33
3.38Expected goals
2.17Aberdeen xG
1.21Kilmarnock xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 2.2 – 1.2 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
Aberdeen or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Aberdeen (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
First team to score
Aberdeen to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Aberdeen ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Aberdeen – last 6
LLWLWW
2 Sep
@ Celtic
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Rangers
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dundee
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Dundee
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Kelty Hearts
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 6
LLWLLD
2 Sep
vs ST Mirren
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Dundee Utd
0–4
L
14 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Celtic
1–5
L
2 Aug
@ ST Johnstone
3–4
L
25 Jul
@ Peterhead
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Aberdeen or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kilmarnock 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
