Value bet: Dundee to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDundee to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
ST Johnstone vs Dundee: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Premiership brings ST Johnstone against Dundee at McDiarmid Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, ST Johnstone are 7th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Dundee are 5th (upper half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ST Johnstone, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kilmarnock, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Dundee, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kilmarnock, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dundee, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for ST Johnstone.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Johnstone 1.4 xG, Dundee 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Johnstone 37%, draw 22%, Dundee 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Dundee to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Johnstone37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Dundee41%fair 2.44 · @2.70
2.83Expected goals
1.37ST Johnstone xG
1.45Dundee xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.5 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundee 41%.
How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
Our predicted score is ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
ST Johnstone vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
