Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPartick to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.64
Partick vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 7 August: Partick v Livingston in the Championship, played at Firhill Stadium. In the table, Partick are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 14 matches; Livingston are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Partick, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Morton, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Livingston, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Queen's Park, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Livingston 1–1 Partick.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Partick 1.1 xG, Livingston 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Partick 41%, draw 28%, Livingston 31%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Partick 1–0 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Partick41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.25
Livingston31%fair 3.25 · @2.98
1.95Expected goals
1.10Partick xG
0.85Livingston xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Partick 1.1 – 0.9 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Partick
Livingston
Attack vs Championship average
+7%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.06
0.74
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Partick vs Livingston?
On our numbers Partick have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Livingston 31%.
How many goals will there be in Partick vs Livingston?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Partick vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Partick 1–0 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Partick vs Livingston?
Partick vs Livingston (Championship) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
