Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raith Rovers travel to face Dunfermline on Friday 28 August in the Championship, with East End Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Dunfermline are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Raith Rovers are 2nd (among the top four) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dunfermline, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Livingston, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Raith Rovers, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ayr Utd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Raith Rovers, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Dunfermline.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dunfermline 1.1 xG, Raith Rovers 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dunfermline 36%, draw 22%, Raith Rovers 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Raith Rovers to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dunfermline 1–1 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dunfermline36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.35
Raith Rovers42%fair 2.37 · @2.62
2.24Expected goals
1.06Dunfermline xG
1.18Raith Rovers xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dunfermline 1.1 – 1.2 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✗
42%
2.37
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.67
Draw no bet
Raith Rovers (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Dunfermline +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Raith Rovers to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.73
–
Recent results
Dunfermline – last 6
LLDDWW
22 Aug
@ Livingston
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Ross County
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Inverness CT
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ ST Mirren
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Raith Rovers – last 6
WWDLWD
22 Aug
vs Ayr Utd
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Queen's Park
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Stenhousemuir
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Heart Of Midlothian
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Hamilton Academical
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dunfermline and Raith Rovers.
What is the prediction for Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
On our numbers Dunfermline have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Raith Rovers 42%.
How many goals will there be in Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
Our predicted score is Dunfermline 1–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at East End Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
