Livingston vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stenhousemuir travel to face Livingston on Friday 4 September in the Championship, with The Home of the Set Fare Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Livingston are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Stenhousemuir are 4th (among the top four) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Livingston, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arbroath, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Stenhousemuir, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Inverness CT, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Stenhousemuir 0–0 Livingston.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 1.9 xG, Stenhousemuir 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 70%, draw 18%, Stenhousemuir 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livingston70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @4.20
Stenhousemuir12%fair 8.24 · @8.25
2.51Expected goals
1.91Livingston xG
0.60Stenhousemuir xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.9 – 0.6 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Livingston have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stenhousemuir 12%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
