Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultLivingston to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.79
Morton vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 11 September the Championship brings Morton against Livingston at Cappielow Park. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Morton are 9th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Livingston are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Morton, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Queen's Park, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Livingston, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stenhousemuir, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Livingston, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Morton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morton 0.5 xG, Livingston 1.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morton 16%, draw 20%, Livingston 64%.
Lower-risk option: Livingston or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Livingston to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morton 0–1 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morton16%fair 6.15 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @4.00
Livingston64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
1.90Expected goals
0.48Morton xG
1.42Livingston xG
51%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–121%
0–215%
0–015%
1–110%
1–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Morton 0.5 – 1.4 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Double chance
Livingston or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.75
Draw no bet
Livingston (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Livingston -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Livingston to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.79
–
Recent results
Morton – last 6
LDLLLL
5 Sep
@ Queen's Park
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Ayr Utd
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Arbroath
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Stenhousemuir
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Partick
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Inverness CT
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Livingston – last 6
LLWLWD
4 Sep
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Partick
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Queen's Park
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Stenhousemuir
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morton and Livingston.
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Morton vs Livingston?
On our numbers Morton have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Livingston 64%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Livingston?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Morton 0–1 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Livingston?
Morton vs Livingston (Championship) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
