Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.19
Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Championship brings Stenhousemuir against Dunfermline at Ochilview Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Stenhousemuir are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Dunfermline are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stenhousemuir, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Partick, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dunfermline, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Queen's Park, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 0.6 xG, Dunfermline 1.0 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 28%, draw 24%, Dunfermline 48%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 0–0 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenhousemuir28%fair 3.55 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Dunfermline48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
1.64Expected goals
0.65Stenhousemuir xG
0.99Dunfermline xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
0–119%
1–013%
1–112%
0–210%
1–26%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.6 – 1.0 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunfermline to win✓
48%
2.10
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Draw no bet
Dunfermline (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Stenhousemuir +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Dunfermline to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.19
–
Recent results
Stenhousemuir – last 6
LDLWWW
24 Oct
@ Partick
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Raith Rovers
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Inverness CT
0–2
L
25 Sep
@ Ayr Utd
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Arbroath
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Partick
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dunfermline – last 6
WDDDLW
24 Oct
@ Queen's Park
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs Partick
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Livingston
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Ayr Utd
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Aberdeen
1–4
L
19 Sep
@ Morton
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dunfermline 48%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–0 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?
Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.