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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stenhousemuir v Dunfermline: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Ochilview Park
0–1
FT
Stenhousemuir 28%Draw 24%Dunfermline 48% Expected goals 0.65 – 0.99
55%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultDunfermline to win ✓48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.19

Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 27 October the Championship brings Stenhousemuir against Dunfermline at Ochilview Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Stenhousemuir are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Dunfermline are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Stenhousemuir, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Partick, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dunfermline, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Queen's Park, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 0.6 xG, Dunfermline 1.0 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 28%, draw 24%, Dunfermline 48%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 0–0 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stenhousemuir28%fair 3.55 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Dunfermline48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
1.64Expected goals
0.65Stenhousemuir xG
0.99Dunfermline xG
45%Both score
23%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
0–119%
1–013%
1–112%
0–210%
1–26%

From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.6 – 1.0 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDunfermline to win ✓48%2.102.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.811.83
Draw no betDunfermline (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapStenhousemuir +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreDunfermline to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19%5.19–

Recent results

Stenhousemuir – last 6

LDLWWW
24 Oct@ Partick0–3L
17 Octvs Raith Rovers1–1D
10 Oct@ Inverness CT0–2L
25 Sep@ Ayr Utd1–0W
19 Sepvs Arbroath1–0W
15 Sepvs Partick1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Dunfermline – last 6

WDDDLW
24 Oct@ Queen's Park1–0W
20 Octvs Partick1–1D
17 Octvs Livingston0–0D
10 Oct@ Ayr Utd1–1D
3 Octvs Aberdeen1–4L
19 Sep@ Morton1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline.

Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dunfermline 48%.

How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–0 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline?

Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.