Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultPartick to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chancePartick or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.06
Ayr Utd vs Partick: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Partick travel to face Ayr Utd on Friday 16 October in the Championship, with Somerset Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Ayr Utd are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Partick are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ayr Utd, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dunfermline, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Partick, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Livingston, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Partick, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Ayr Utd.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Partick 1–0 Ayr Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 0.4 xG, Partick 1.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 13%, draw 25%, Partick 62%.
Lower-risk option: Partick or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Partick to win (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ayr Utd13%fair 7.67 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.60
Partick62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
1.79Expected goals
0.43Ayr Utd xG
1.36Partick xG
51%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–123%
0–017%
0–215%
1–110%
1–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 0.4 – 1.4 Partick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Partick to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Partick?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Partick 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Partick?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Partick?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Partick?
Ayr Utd vs Partick (Championship) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
