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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arbroath v Raith Rovers: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Gayfield Park
0–4
FT
Arbroath 15%Draw 23%Raith Rovers 63% Expected goals 0.55 – 1.53
85%
Betarazi pick

Raith Rovers or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.24

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Arbroath v Raith Rovers in the Championship, played at Gayfield Park. In the table, Arbroath are 8th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 14 matches; Raith Rovers are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Arbroath, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Livingston, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Raith Rovers, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inverness CT, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Raith Rovers, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Arbroath.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Raith Rovers 4–0 Arbroath.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arbroath 0.6 xG, Raith Rovers 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arbroath 15%, draw 23%, Raith Rovers 63%.
  • Lower-risk option: Raith Rovers or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Raith Rovers to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Raith Rovers or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arbroath 0–1 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arbroath15%fair 6.87 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.00
Raith Rovers63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
2.08Expected goals
0.55Arbroath xG
1.53Raith Rovers xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–215%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%

From our goals model: Arbroath 0.6 – 1.5 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaith Rovers to win ✓63%1.601.91 ▲
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.75
Draw no betRaith Rovers (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapRaith Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreRaith Rovers to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✓37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.24–

Recent results

Arbroath – last 6

LLLLWL
24 Oct@ Livingston0–1L
17 Oct@ Inverness CT0–2L
10 Octvs Morton1–2L
3 Oct@ Partick0–3L
25 Sepvs Queen's Park2–1W
19 Sep@ Stenhousemuir0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Raith Rovers – last 6

LDWWLD
24 Octvs Inverness CT0–2L
17 Oct@ Stenhousemuir1–1D
10 Octvs Queen's Park2–0W
3 Oct@ Morton2–1W
25 Sepvs Livingston0–2L
19 Sep@ Partick0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Sep 2026Raith Rovers v Arbroath4–0
Arbroath vs Raith Rovers head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

Our pick is Raith Rovers or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

On our numbers Arbroath have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raith Rovers 63%.

How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

Our predicted score is Arbroath 0–1 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.