Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Livingston to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLivingston to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.90
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Friday 30 October: Stenhousemuir v Livingston in the Championship, played at Ochilview Park. In the table, Stenhousemuir are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Livingston are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stenhousemuir, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dunfermline, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Livingston, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arbroath, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Sep 2026) it ended Livingston 0–1 Stenhousemuir. The last 2 head-to-heads: Stenhousemuir 1 win, Livingston 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 0.5 xG, Livingston 1.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 13%, draw 23%, Livingston 64%.
Lower-risk option: Livingston or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Livingston to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Livingston or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 0–1 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenhousemuir13%fair 7.60 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Livingston64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
2.00Expected goals
0.49Stenhousemuir xG
1.51Livingston xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–215%
0–014%
1–110%
0–38%
1–28%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.5 – 1.5 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Our pick is Livingston or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Livingston 64%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–1 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
Stenhousemuir vs Livingston (Championship) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
