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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Raith Rovers v Dunfermline: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland
0–0
FT
Raith Rovers 34%Draw 23%Dunfermline 44% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.20
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDunfermline to win ✗44% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.50

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dunfermline travel to face Raith Rovers on Friday 6 November in the Championship – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Raith Rovers are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Dunfermline are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Raith Rovers, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hamilton Academical, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Dunfermline, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dunfermline, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Raith Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Aug 2026) it ended Dunfermline 1–0 Raith Rovers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Raith Rovers 1.0 xG, Dunfermline 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Raith Rovers 34%, draw 23%, Dunfermline 44%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raith Rovers 0–1 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Raith Rovers34%fair 2.98 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Dunfermline44%fair 2.30 · @2.35
2.19Expected goals
1.00Raith Rovers xG
1.20Dunfermline xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.0 – 1.2 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDunfermline to win ✗44%2.302.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Draw no betDunfermline (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapRaith Rovers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.501.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.08
First team to scoreDunfermline to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.50–

Recent results

Raith Rovers – last 6

DWLDWW
3 Nov@ Hamilton Academical1–1D
31 Oct@ Arbroath4–0W
24 Octvs Inverness CT0–2L
17 Oct@ Stenhousemuir1–1D
10 Octvs Queen's Park2–0W
3 Oct@ Morton2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dunfermline – last 6

WWWWDD
3 Nov@ Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic4–2W
31 Octvs Inverness CT5–1W
27 Oct@ Stenhousemuir1–0W
24 Oct@ Queen's Park1–0W
20 Octvs Partick1–1D
17 Octvs Livingston0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Aug 2026Dunfermline v Raith Rovers1–0
Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?

On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dunfermline 44%.

How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?

Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 0–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline?

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.