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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hamilton Academical v Alloa Athletic: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · ZLX Stadium
Hamilton Academical 60%Draw 24%Alloa Athletic 16% Expected goals 1.87 – 0.81
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alloa Athletic travel to face Hamilton Academical on Saturday 8 August in the League One, with ZLX Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Hamilton Academical are 2nd, among the top four, on 33 points after 14 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hamilton Academical, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Montrose, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Alloa Athletic, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with East Fife, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Hamilton Academical, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Alloa Athletic.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Alloa Athletic 3–0 Hamilton Academical.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hamilton Academical 1.9 xG, Alloa Athletic 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hamilton Academical 60%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamilton Academical 2–0 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hamilton Academical60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.70
Alloa Athletic16%fair 6.22 · @4.80
2.68Expected goals
1.87Hamilton Academical xG
0.81Alloa Athletic xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 1.9 – 0.8 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
Attack vs League One average+14%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-27%+6%
Our expected goals here1.980.78

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamilton Academical to win ✓60%1.661.60
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓84%1.191.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.77
Draw no betHamilton Academical (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapHamilton Academical -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreHamilton Academical to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultHamilton Academical ahead at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✓40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Hamilton Academical – last 6

WWLDWW
1 Aug@ Montrose5–0W
25 Julvs Elgin City5–0W
21 Jul@ Kilmarnock0–1L
18 Julvs Raith Rovers1–1D
11 Jul@ Peterhead1–0W
4 Jul@ Haverfordwest County AFC4–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alloa Athletic – last 6

DLDDLL
1 Augvs East Fife0–0D
25 Jul@ Ayr Utd1–4L
21 Julvs Falkirk1–1D
18 Julvs Stranraer2–2D
14 Jul@ Edinburgh City0–2L
30 Junvs Livingston0–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Alloa Athletic v Hamilton Academical3–0
Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?

On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alloa Athletic 16%.

How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?

Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 2–0 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic?

Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.