Alloa Athletic vs Montrose: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Alloa Athletic v Montrose in the League One, played at Recreation Park. In the table, Alloa Athletic are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Montrose are 4th (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Alloa Athletic, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stranraer, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Montrose, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fraserburgh, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Montrose, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Alloa Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 1.4 xG, Montrose 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 51%, draw 23%, Montrose 27%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 1–1 Montrose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alloa Athletic51%fair 1.97 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Montrose27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
2.25Expected goals
1.37Alloa Athletic xG
0.88Montrose xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.4 – 0.9 Montrose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Draw no bet
Alloa Athletic (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Montrose +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Alloa Athletic to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✓
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Alloa Athletic – last 6
WLDLDD
11 Aug
vs Stranraer
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs East Fife
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Ayr Utd
1–4
L
21 Jul
vs Falkirk
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Stranraer
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Montrose – last 6
WLLLWW
11 Aug
vs Fraserburgh
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ross County
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Hamilton Academical
0–5
L
25 Jul
vs Spartans
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Arbroath
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Stirling Albion
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and Montrose.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montrose 27%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–1 Montrose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?
Alloa Athletic vs Montrose (League One) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
