Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.32
Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alloa Athletic welcome Peterhead to Recreation Park for a League One fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Alloa Athletic are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Peterhead are 7th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alloa Athletic, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Motherwell U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Peterhead, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dundee II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Peterhead 3–1 Alloa Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 1.3 xG, Peterhead 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 62%, draw 24%, Peterhead 14%.
Lower-risk option: Alloa Athletic or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Alloa Athletic to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alloa Athletic or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 1–0 Peterhead. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alloa Athletic62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Peterhead14%fair 7.23 · @3.70
1.75Expected goals
1.33Alloa Athletic xG
0.42Peterhead xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.3 – 0.4 Peterhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Our pick is Alloa Athletic or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Peterhead 14%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–0 Peterhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead?
Alloa Athletic vs Peterhead (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
