Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 2.80 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗43% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.29
Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the League One brings Airdrie United against Alloa Athletic at Albert Bartlett Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Airdrie United are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Airdrie United, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over St. Mirren U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Alloa Athletic, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Clydebank, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alloa Athletic, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Airdrie United.
Head to head
When they last met (5 May 2026) it ended Alloa Athletic 1–0 Airdrie United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Airdrie United 0.9 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Airdrie United 34%, draw 23%, Alloa Athletic 43%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Alloa Athletic to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Airdrie United 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Airdrie United34%fair 2.95 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Alloa Athletic43%fair 2.34 · @2.80
1.92Expected goals
0.88Airdrie United xG
1.04Alloa Athletic xG
53%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Airdrie United 0.9 – 1.0 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
On our numbers Airdrie United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alloa Athletic 43%.
How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
Our predicted score is Airdrie United 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
