Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the League One brings Alloa Athletic against East Kilbride at Recreation Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Alloa Athletic are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; East Kilbride are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Alloa Athletic, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Airdrie United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
East Kilbride, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Peterhead, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 1.3 xG, East Kilbride 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 45%, draw 23%, East Kilbride 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Alloa Athletic to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 1–1 East Kilbride. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alloa Athletic45%fair 2.22 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
East Kilbride32%fair 3.11 · @2.62
2.43Expected goals
1.35Alloa Athletic xG
1.08East Kilbride xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 1.3 – 1.1 East Kilbride expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win✗
45%
2.22
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Draw no bet
Alloa Athletic (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
East Kilbride +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Alloa Athletic to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Alloa Athletic – last 6
LDDDWW
12 Sep
@ Airdrie United
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Clydebank
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Cove Rangers
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Peterhead
1–1
D
25 Aug
vs Motherwell U21
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Queen of the South
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
East Kilbride – last 6
WWLLWL
12 Sep
vs Peterhead
3–1
W
8 Sep
vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hamilton Academical
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Ross County
0–4
L
25 Aug
@ Cowdenbeath
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Montrose
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alloa Athletic and East Kilbride.
What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and East Kilbride 32%.
How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 1–1 East Kilbride, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride?
Alloa Athletic vs East Kilbride (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
