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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Fife v Alloa Athletic: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · MGM Timber Bayview Stadium
0–3
FT
East Fife 40%Draw 24%Alloa Athletic 36% Expected goals 1.07 – 0.98
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Alloa Athletic to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultEast Fife to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.87

East Fife vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the League One brings East Fife against Alloa Athletic at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, East Fife are 6th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Alloa Athletic are 9th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

East Fife, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cumbernauld Colts, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Alloa Athletic, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Annan Athletic, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Alloa Athletic 0–0 East Fife.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Fife 1.1 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Fife 40%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Alloa Athletic to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Fife 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Fife40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Alloa Athletic36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
2.05Expected goals
1.07East Fife xG
0.98Alloa Athletic xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: East Fife 1.1 – 1.0 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEast Fife to win ✗40%2.492.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.75
Draw no betEast Fife (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreEast Fife to score first ✗45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.87–

Recent results

East Fife – last 6

LDLLLW
13 Oct@ Cumbernauld Colts1–2L
10 Oct@ Cove Rangers1–1D
3 Octvs East Kilbride0–3L
26 Sepvs Clydebank0–2L
19 Sepvs Montrose1–2L
15 Sepvs Motherwell U214–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Alloa Athletic – last 6

DLLDWL
13 Oct@ Annan Athletic0–0D
10 Octvs Hamilton Academical0–3L
3 Oct@ Ross County1–4L
26 Sepvs Gala Fairydean Rovers2–2D
22 Sepvs Hibernian U214–1W
19 Sepvs East Kilbride1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Alloa Athletic v East Fife0–0
East Fife vs Alloa Athletic head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Fife vs Alloa Athletic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win East Fife vs Alloa Athletic?

On our numbers East Fife have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alloa Athletic 36%.

How many goals will there be in East Fife vs Alloa Athletic?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Fife vs Alloa Athletic?

Our predicted score is East Fife 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is East Fife vs Alloa Athletic?

East Fife vs Alloa Athletic (League One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at MGM Timber Bayview Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.