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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alloa Athletic v Queen of the South: numbers & prediction

League One · Scotland · Recreation Park
Alloa Athletic 60%Draw 24%Queen of the South 16% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.07
84%
Betarazi pick

Alloa Athletic or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlloa Athletic to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Alloa Athletic v Queen of the South in the League One, played at Recreation Park. In the table, Alloa Athletic are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Queen of the South are 8th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Alloa Athletic, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over East Fife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Queen of the South, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Ross County, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Queen of the South 0–2 Alloa Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alloa Athletic 2.2 xG, Queen of the South 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alloa Athletic 60%, draw 24%, Queen of the South 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alloa Athletic or draw (84%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alloa Athletic or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alloa Athletic 2–1 Queen of the South. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alloa Athletic60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.70
Queen of the South16%fair 6.33 · @4.00
3.23Expected goals
2.16Alloa Athletic xG
1.07Queen of the South xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Alloa Athletic 2.2 – 1.1 Queen of the South expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlloa Athletic to win ✗60%1.661.75 ▲
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or draw ✗84%1.191.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.60
Draw no betAlloa Athletic (draw no bet) ✗79%1.26–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
First team to scoreAlloa Athletic to score first ✗64%1.55–
Half-time resultAlloa Athletic ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alloa Athletic / FT Alloa Athletic ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Alloa Athletic – last 6

WDLLDW
17 Oct@ East Fife3–0W
13 Oct@ Annan Athletic0–0D
10 Octvs Hamilton Academical0–3L
3 Oct@ Ross County1–4L
26 Sepvs Gala Fairydean Rovers2–2D
22 Sepvs Hibernian U214–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Queen of the South – last 6

LLWWWD
17 Octvs Ross County1–7L
13 Oct@ Berwick Rangers0–1L
10 Oct@ Peterhead1–0W
3 Octvs Cove Rangers4–3W
26 Sepvs Rangers U214–2W
22 Sepvs Annan Athletic1–1D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Queen of the South v Alloa Athletic0–2
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County141220+4038
2Hamilton Academical141031+1733
3East Kilbride13634+521
4Montrose14626-420
5Airdrie United14446-916
6East Fife14365-415
7Peterhead14419-1313
8Queen of the South14419-2413
9Alloa Athletic14338-412
10Cove Rangers13337-412

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?

Our pick is Alloa Athletic or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?

On our numbers Alloa Athletic have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Queen of the South 16%.

How many goals will there be in Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?

Our predicted score is Alloa Athletic 2–1 Queen of the South, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?

Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South (League One) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Recreation Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.